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Nuclear worldwide: Where we stand 3 years after Fukushima

2014

Since Fukushima (March 2011) and despite decisions by some countries to phase out nuclear energy in the short or long term, about 70 reactors are currently under construction around the world, half of them in China and Russia.

In our study "Nuclear worldwide: Where we stand 3 years after Fukushima", our expert show that the global nuclear installed base decreased on balance by only 9 units: 13 new operations, 2 restarts and 24 shutdowns, of which 16 were driven by the disaster in Japan and 8 were at the end of their lifecycles.

The Roland Berger study shows that global nuclear installed capacity could increase 26% by 2030 in a low scenario (from 435 units today to 489 units, or 372 GW vs. 470 GW). Roland Berger estimates that of 581 nuclear projects planned or announced and assuming highly favorable circumstances, only 123 to 224 are likely to materialize. These plants will be built in various countries on several continents: more than half in China (56), Russia (16) and India (14), but also in new countries such as the United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia and Vietnam. Some countries will start replacing or slightly expanding their installed base (e.g. the United Kingdom, the Czech Republic, Ukraine, South Korea and even the United States, depending on a potential operational life extension to 80 years that is currently under discussion).

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