Aerospace & Defense

Aerospace & Defense

Portrait of Manfred Hader
Senior Partner
Hamburg Office, Central Europe
+49 40 37631-4327
Attractive Growth Perspectives

Navigating turbulent skies

Civil aerospace has been hit hard, but diversified companies find the crisis much easier to navigate.

Gone are the days of long-term rapid growth. As the world contends with the Covid-19 pandemic, the aerospace & defence industry today is a mixed bag, with some underlying sectors suffering deeply while others stay broadly steady.

Civil aerospace has been hit hard, deeply impacted by airline groundings and aircraft order cancellations. With no clear end to the pandemic yet in site, compounded by a global recession, the civil aerospace sector may not recover for many years to come. However, as has been in the case in previous economic recessions, the defence, space and security sectors remain relatively strong - and companies which are diversified are finding the crisis that much easier to navigate. At the same time, new burgeoning sectors are on the horizon, such as Urban Air Mobility , while the focus on sustainability in civil aerospace continues to rise rapidly.

These trends are forcing OEMs and key technology suppliers to rethink their business and operating models to adapt to the "new normal" , revisit their talent and competence management strategies, review their product portfolio, adjust their global footprint, streamline operations, and make their cost structures more flexible to rapid change.

Our aerospace and defense team serves the civil aerospace, space, defense, and security industries. We advise renowned OEMs and their suppliers, institutions, agencies, governments and investors along the entire value chain – global, strategic and operational solutions from design and production, all the way to service.

We help our clients to not only organise themselves to succeed through crises, but also identify and exploit new sources of growth and efficiency, delivering deep industry expertise and cutting-edge strategic advice as well as sustainable improvements. We also support them in structuring and managing major transformation initiatives, taking full advantage of digital technologies and mindsets.

Load More
Civil aerospace

The civil aerospace sector is currently embroiled in a battle to survive the Covid-19 pandemic, which has had an unprecedented and historic impact on the aviation sector, and thereby on aerospace as well. Indeed, the time to ramp up production to ever higher rates is over – instead, the industry is now more concerned with operational flexibility and preparedness for a potentially long-lasting pandemic. Roland Berger is closely tracking the progression of the virus and its impact on aviation and aerospace and has developed scenarios for how the future for the sector may unfold.

At Roland Berger, we work at the heart of the industry's core: program management, engineering, manufacturing and supply chain, as well as support and service. Our teams deliver concrete, measurable results and have been at forefront of helping companies navigate the complexities of the current crisis and get ready for the "new normal".

However, despite the Covid-19 pandemic, the megatrend of sustainability has remained strong - and, if anything, has accelerated through the crisis. Airlines and aerospace companies alike are increasingly vocal about their ambitions in net-zero or even zero emissions air travel. Technologies such as electric, hydrogen and SAFs are all being considered, and each holds potential to significantly decarbonise the sector. Indeed, the challenge goes beyond carbon: non-CO₂ effects such as NOX and contrails must also be mitigated for the industry to become truly sustainable. Our Roadmap to True Zero, launched at Farnborough "FIA" Connect 2020, lays out how the civil aerospace and aviation industries can both decarbonise and also minimise their non-CO₂ footprints.

Urban Air Mobility

With hundreds of startups, billions invested and barriers continually being overcome, the Urban Air Mobility is an essential part of the rapid global move towards smart mobility. With the passenger drone market expected to emerge in the 2020s, UAM platforms will serve use cases such as inter-city flights, airport shuttles and city taxis. More than 160,000 passenger drones are expected to be in operation by 2050.

Roland Berger is primed to help both incumbent and new entrant businesses to evaluate the impact of emerging technologies like UAM, develop the commercial case and assess the ramifications for the supply chain. Our team of experts in drones, novel propulsion systems, and system-of-systems models can help develop the winning strategy to crack the emerging UAM market.

Space

The space sector is currently undergoing a transformation. Despite still largely subsidizing the sector, governments are pushing toward more risk-sharing with private players when managing space programs. This paradigm shift has led newcomers to compete against incumbents on long-term attractive government contracts. These new entrants are offering lower development and manufacturing costs through radical changes in their operating model, pushing legacy players to re-invent themselves to remain competitive. At the same time, in the current context of budget constraints, public organizations are aiming at maximizing the positive socio-economic benefits of investments in the space sector. Concurrently, private players are aiming at developing space-based solutions that could be beneficial for many global industry verticals.

At Roland Berger, we help public and private organizations to benefit from the opportunities offered by the space sector. Thanks to our domain expertise, we understand how the dynamics of the sector are impacting our clients and can support them to define actionable strategies to enable their transformation journeys. As a result, we can help companies grow in established markets and capitalise on new opportunities while significantly improving competitiveness.

Defence

Given the ongoing international threat environment, overall defence spending is expected to remain resilient and drastic cuts by major powers are not expected – though growth may be constrained in some nations. Nevertheless, budgetary constraints caused by government spending becoming focused on fighting the Covid-19 pandemic mean that procurement timelines may be pushed out, with defence spending allocations being reprioritised.

At the same time, global defence paradigms are being challenged. In mature markets, relationships and ways of interacting between governmental customers and defence industries are being redefined. Concurrently, emerging markets are striving to establish local defence industries and are mobilizing players from other sectors to enter defence. In addition, technological megatrends such as C4ISR, cyber/electronic warfare, and unmanned air systems are advancing, while large multinational programs such as FCAS are expected to be game changers in technology, triggering a reshaping of the industrial landscape.

We help clients in military aircraft, land, and naval systems across the globe to mastermind and implement necessary transformations by revisiting their strategy, reviewing their organizational setup, honing their sales and marketing approach, improving the cost structures of their products, and optimising their structures to participate in large multinational programs. We also help diversified players to re-structure their corporate strategy as global trends shift, including increasing their focus on defence while civil markets struggle.

With a wide range of both physical and cyber threats posed by terrorism, espionage, and migratory pressure, the security industry has shown strong growth that is set to continue in the years to come. Public safety is a key enabler for economic growth and stability, and is fundamental to quality of life in modern, open societies. Security systems protect military facilities and help safeguard critical infrastructures like power facilities, harbors, shipping lines, banks, R&D facilities, and production sites. It has also become a key issue at the board level in most industrial companies.

Our experts support clients in identifying growth opportunities, and then help them transform these into profitable business. At the same time, we support corporate leaders in reviewing their companies' security architecture and implementing required changes in governance and organization.

Security

Directly linked to aircraft utilisation, the civil aerospace aftermarkethas been deeply hurt by Covid-19: as airlines have grounded their fleets en masse and cut MRO spending drastically. As the air transport sector recovers, MRO revenues will too – but this recovery is expected to be slow. Furthermore, this markedly reduced market going forward is expected to support a fewer number of players compared to pre-crisis levels – we are thus expecting to see significant consolidation in the coming years.

Roland Berger assists OEMs and suppliers to address the challenges which are emerging through strategically re-orientating their businesses and improving operational efficiency. We partner with airlines and other operators to reduce maintenance costs, with MRO providers to grow their top-line while optimising their cost base and footprint, and with OEMs to structure the value chain to deliver the greatest value to end customers.

Maintenance and repair (MRO)

Due to its direct dependence on aircraft utilization, COVID-19 hit the aviation industry's commercial maintenance and repair market hard after airlines grounded their fleets en masse and slashed MRO spending. As air traffic recovers, so will MRQ revenues - but this recovery is expected to be very slow. Moreover, compared to the pre-crisis period, this significantly shrunken market is expected to offer space for only a smaller number of players from market participants in the future - we therefore expect a considerable wave of consolidation to roll towards us in the coming years.

Roland Berger helps OEMs and suppliers meet the challenges of strategically realigning their business and improving operational efficiency. We work with airlines and other operators to reduce maintenance costs, with MRO providers to increase their revenue while optimizing their cost base and their environmental footprint, and with OEMs to structure the value chain in a way that provides maximum value to end users.

Further readings
Experts
Bahrain
Portrait of Vatche Kourkejian
Partner
Manama Office, Middle East
+973 13 609 900
Brazil
Portrait of Marcus Ayres
Partner
São Paulo Office, South America
+55 11 3046-7111
Canada
Portrait of Dominique Gautier
Senior Partner
Montréal Office, North America
+33 1 5367-0341
Portrait of Rahul Gangal
Partner
Montréal Office, North America
+1 647 881-1807
France
Portrait of Didier Bréchemier
Senior Partner
Paris Office, Western Europe
+33 1 5367-0926
Portrait of Eric Esperance
Partner
Paris Office, Western Europe
+33 1 5367-0327
Portrait of François Guénard
Partner
Paris Office, Western Europe
+33 (1) 70394-118
Principal
Paris Office, Western Europe
+33 17 0928 -923
Germany
Portrait of Manfred Hader
Senior Partner
Hamburg Office, Central Europe
+49 40 37631-4327
Portrait of Akio Ito
Senior Partner
Munich Office, Central Europe
+49 89 9230–8583
Portrait of Carsten Rossbach
Senior Partner
Frankfurt Office, Central Europe
+49 69 29924-6318
Portrait of Christoph Steiger
Senior Partner
Munich Office, Central Europe
+49 89 9230 - 8788
Portrait of Bernhard Langefeld
Partner
Frankfurt Office, Central Europe
+49 69 29924-6143
Portrait of Stephan Baur
Principal
Munich Office, Central Europe
+49 89 9230-8041
Greater China
Portrait of Zhanfu Yu
Partner
Beijing Office, Eastern Asia
+86 10 8440 0088-669
Partner
Shanghai Office, Eastern Asia
+86 10 8440 0088 - 695
Italy
Portrait of Alfredo Arpaia
Senior Partner, Chairman of the Board of Directors Italy
Milan Office, Southern Europe
+39 02 2950-1218
Japan
Portrait of Daisuke Nakano
Partner
Tokyo Office, Eastern Asia
+81 3 3587-6660
Singapore
Portrait of Damien Dujacquier
Senior Partner, Managing Partner Southeast Asia
Singapore Office, Southeast Asia
+65 6597-4548
United Kingdom
Portrait of Philip Dunne
Partner
London Office, Western Europe
+44 74 6744-1839
Portrait of Robert Thomson
Partner, Managing Partner United Kingdom
London Office, Western Europe
+44 20 3075-1100
Portrait of William Adkins
Principal
London Office, Western Europe
+44 20 3075-113
Portrait of Neranjana de Silva
Principal
London Office, Western Europe
+44 20 3075-1114
USA
Portrait of Wilfried Aulbur
Senior Partner
Chicago Office, North America
+91 99 2063-0131
Portrait of Jonathon Wright
Partner
Boston Office, North America
+1 617 310-6600
Get in touch

We deliver measurable results for our A&D clients.

Portrait of Manfred Hader
Senior Partner
Hamburg Office, Central Europe
+49 40 37631-4327