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Global winds of change in 2012


In 2012, elections and leadership changes will put an end to business as usual . We need to think about the future differently.

If you thought 2011 was eventful enough, hold on to your hats. The winds of change all over the world could strengthen to storm force next year in the wake of leadership changes. Besides the usual crop of elections in relatively small economies (East Timor, the Faroe Islands, and Senegal, for example), leadership changes are possible in 2012 in the world's two largest economies, the US and China, and in other heavyweights such as France, India, Mexico and Russia. In total, 53 % of the world's population and over 50 % of global GDP will be directly affected by these potential shifts in power.

In normal times such a coincidence would hardly have been worth a mention. But these aren't normal times. The governance and steering of half the world's economy may, and in some cases is very likely to, change hands at a time of exceptional turbulence and uncertainty throughout the world.

Roland Berger Strategy Consultants is developing a new approach to thinking about the future, designed to help political and business leaders make better decisions in the turbulent new world. Known as Project 2012, the approach consists of three components:

  • A characterization of the decision-making environment in the second decade of the 21st century
  • A list of major global topics that will have an impact on many or all countries
  • A framework for thinking about individual countries and complex challenges


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