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Aviation Radar 2015

2015

This is ostensibly a good year for the aviation business. Fuel costs are low, other costs are stable or even declining and passenger figures are rising, providing the best prerequisites for economic success. However the airlines' earnings remain under pressure thanks to over-capacity, increased competition and price-sensitive customers. This is the conclusion reached by Roland Berger's "Aviation Radar 2015" report alongside the Aviation Convention 2015 held recently for the second time in Cologne, Germany. This joint event hosted by Roland Berger, the DLR and RWTH Aachen University provided high-caliber speakers and managers from the aviation business with an international platform from which they were able to exchange ideas on future trends in the industry.

According to Roland Berger Partner Martin Streichfuss, "Growth is occurring mainly in the Middle East and Asia." In order to keep up with the competition, many traditional carriers are introducing a number of austerity and other restructuring measures as well as improving cabin factors. "We expect the business model adopted by the low cost carriers to become the norm among the traditional carriers," said Streichfuss.

"It is difficult to anticipate the future trends in the aviation business in differing regions as well as the potential development of individual airports, airlines and air traffic control," commented Prof. Johannes Reichmuth, Director of the DLR's Institute of Air Transport and Airport Research and head of department at RWTH Aachen University, adding, "diverse and arbitrary events often cause considerable fluctuation in development. For example, the timely completion of infrastructure expansion programs in economically advanced, highly developed regions is increasingly difficult. This will only exacerbate the inherent imbalance between the major air traffic hubs, which are already suffering from high levels of congestion, and smaller, less congested airports."

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