Scenario analysis from Roland Berger to help procurement professionals prepare for an uncertain future
Opportunity Radar – Preparing procurement for the future
Short-, medium-, and long-term bets for CPOs
The Opportunity Radar builds on Roland Berger’s latest study “Procurement Endgame 2.0,” which explores how procurement could evolve over the next decade under four very different future scenarios shaped by technology and geopolitics. In this main study, procurement leaders are challenged to think beyond linear planning and prepare their organizations for a world that could range from seamlessly digital and stable to volatile with slow technological advancement, with each scenario demanding a distinct strategic response.
Once companies have clarified the likelihood of scenarios about the future, the question arises: What can companies do to thrive in these scenarios and shape their success in an uncertain world? In other words: What are the opportunities for businesses to navigate a fragmented and volatile environment while still striving for innovation, efficiency, and resilience? How can organizations adapt to a “better normal” that balances immediate challenges with long-term progress? Beyond the areas discussed below, new opportunities may emerge through advancements in technology, evolving business models, and shifts in global dynamics. Companies are advised to develop an effective radar for identifying these possibilities early on, while building the agility and strategic foresight needed to succeed in any scenario.
From scenarios to action
To move from “what might happen” to “what should we do now?”, Roland Berger has developed the Opportunity Radar as a dedicated deep dive on the Procurement Endgame. It translates the four future scenarios into concrete short-, medium-, and long-term opportunity spaces, helping procurement organizations identify no-regret moves and targeted bets that will pay off across different paths of technological progress and geopolitical stability.
Strategy
Structure
Systems and processes
People
The Opportunity Radar gives procurement leaders a structured view on where to invest next – from data-driven automation and new operating models to resilient supply setups and future-proof skills. It is designed as a practical navigation tool that complements the core study: Once the likely and preferred futures are understood, the Radar guides companies to the most relevant levers to secure resilience, efficiency, and innovation in any scenario.
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