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Understanding the new consumer playbook for 2026

Understanding the new consumer playbook for 2026

July 1, 2026

Why economic pressure, shifting trust and AI adoption are reshaping consumer behavior - and what brands must do to stay relevant

Consumers enter 2026 with a contradictory mindset. While most remain optimistic about their personal wellbeing, many are increasingly concerned about economic conditions, inflation and financial security. This growing gap between personal resilience and structural uncertainty is reshaping how consumers spend, search for information and make purchasing decisions. At the same time, AI is transforming product discovery, trust is shifting from institutions to personal networks, and regional differences are becoming more pronounced. Together, these forces are creating a new consumer landscape that requires brands and retailers to rethink how they create value, build trust and engage customers.

Key findings

+2% net spend on travel and local leisure activities as budgets shift from home categories

71% rank price as top purchase driver, while just 21% cite brand reputation

40% now discover products through friends and family, as trust in established institutions is falling

70% of consumers aged 18–64 now use AI regularly for product research

Social commerce is already established as #1 channel for
Gen Z

Proven performance and credibility of product reviews outweigh innovation and extra features across all categories

"Inflation remains the defining pressure on consumers, and they haven’t relaxed their grip on their wallets."
Thorsten de Boer
Senior Partner
Munich Office, Central Europe

The new consumer playbook

The consumer of 2026 is more deliberate, more value-conscious and less loyal than in previous years. What began as a response to inflation is increasingly becoming a structural shift in behavior. Across income groups and geographies, consumers are scrutinizing purchases more carefully and prioritizing tangible value over brand reputation. The market is becoming increasingly polarized between premium purchases that promise lasting quality and discount alternatives that maximize affordability, leaving the middle ground under pressure.

This shift is not solely driven by economics. Consumers are becoming more strategic in how they allocate spending and more demanding in what they expect in return. For brands, the implication is clear: value propositions must be concrete, measurable and easy to understand.

"In a world of infinite digital content and AI-generated everything, going to a store, touching a product, and engaging with a person carries credibility. Physical retail is one of the last consumer spaces that cannot be faked, automated, or algorithmically optimized away."
Richard Federowski
Partner
Berlin Office, Central Europe

Trust, technology and the changing path to purchase

The traditional relationship between brands and consumers is being reshaped by both technology and trust. Friends, family and peers are becoming increasingly important sources of product discovery, reflecting a broader decline in confidence in institutions and traditional information sources.

At the same time, AI is rapidly becoming part of the consumer decision-making process. Consumers are using AI tools to research products, compare alternatives and identify better deals. Yet concerns about privacy, reliability and transparency remain widespread. As a result, successful brands will need to combine technological convenience with trust, credibility and social validation.

One consumer market no longer exists

Consumer sentiment, purchasing behavior and digital adoption are diverging significantly across regions. Markets such as the UAE, Brazil and Mexico display stronger confidence and faster adoption of social commerce and AI-enabled shopping experiences than many Western economies. These differences are creating increasingly distinct consumer environments.

For brands and retailers, this means that global consistency must be balanced with local relevance. Strategies that succeed in one market may fail in another, making regional adaptation a competitive necessity rather than a marketing choice.

What winning brands will do differently

The changes documented in this study are structural rather than cyclical. Consumers are looking for proof instead of promises, trusted recommendations instead of generic messaging, and products that deliver clear value over time.

Organizations that successfully adapt to these new expectations will be best positioned for growth. Those that continue to rely on traditional assumptions about loyalty, branding and consumer behavior risk losing relevance in an increasingly fragmented and demanding marketplace.

Download the complete study to discover nine key insights into consumer behavior, six disruptive industry signals, and seven imperatives for transforming consumer pressure into a competitive advantage in 2026.

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Understanding the new consumer playbook for 2026

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Why economic pressure, shifting trust and AI adoption are reshaping consumer behavior - and what brands must do to stay relevant.

Published July 2026. Available in
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